To ask Her Majesty's Government what plans, if any, they have to publish a forecast for the take up of the British National (Overseas) visa over (1) 12 months, (2) three years, and (3) five years.
6 July 2021
The Government’s estimate of the number of British National (Overseas) status holders who may migrate to the UK was set out in an impact assessment published on 22 October 2020. It can be found at:
We estimate there are 2.9 million BN(O) status holders eligible to move to the UK, with a further estimated 2.5 million eligible dependants. The impact assessment suggests a central range of 123,000 and 153,700 BN(O) status holders and their dependants coming in the first year and between 258,000 and 322,400 over five years. The estimates are dependent on a range of factors and inherently uncertain.
The number of applications to the BN(O) route are published as part of the Quarterly Migration Statistics and as of 31 March, approximately 34,300 BN(O) status holders and their family members had applied for the route since it opened in January.