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Visas: British National (Overseas)

Question for Home Office

UIN HL1413, tabled on 24 June 2021

To ask Her Majesty's Government what plans, if any, they have to publish a forecast for the take up of the British National (Overseas) visa over (1) 12 months, (2) three years, and (3) five years.

Answered on

6 July 2021

The Government’s estimate of the number of British National (Overseas) status holders who may migrate to the UK was set out in an impact assessment published on 22 October 2020. It can be found at:

https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2020/70/pdfs/ukia_20200070_en.pdf

We estimate there are 2.9 million BN(O) status holders eligible to move to the UK, with a further estimated 2.5 million eligible dependants. The impact assessment suggests a central range of 123,000 and 153,700 BN(O) status holders and their dependants coming in the first year and between 258,000 and 322,400 over five years. The estimates are dependent on a range of factors and inherently uncertain.

The number of applications to the BN(O) route are published as part of the Quarterly Migration Statistics and as of 31 March, approximately 34,300 BN(O) status holders and their family members had applied for the route since it opened in January.

Answered by

Home Office