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Coronavirus: Death

Question for Department of Health and Social Care

UIN HL2665, tabled on 16 March 2020

To ask Her Majesty's Government what is the projected UK death toll from COVID-19

Answered on

31 March 2020

The Government relies on modelling work undertaken by several academic groups, who report to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) through its various subgroups. SAGE will continue to publish the evidence that it considers.

From modelling and current data on the outbreak, it is likely that the United Kingdom death toll will rise, but it is not possible to estimate how many individuals will die currently. This will be dependent on the implementation of and adherence to public health measures, and the success of those measures in suppressing transmission of the virus and the numbers of cases of infection.

Answered by

Department of Health and Social Care