To ask the Secretary of State for Education, what estimate she has made of the number of teachers (a) actively seeking or in teaching employment by 2020 and (b) needed in such employment by that date; and if she will make a statement.
22 April 2016
The Department for Education uses the Teacher Supply Model (TSM) to estimate the national requirements for the primary phase and each secondary subject for the number of postgraduate Initial Teacher Training places to meet future demand. The model also estimates the number of qualified teachers that will be in active service and the number that will enter into active service (either as Newly Qualified Teachers or those that qualified more than one year beforehand) for each year. The table below shows the number of qualified teachers that will be in active service each year and the number that will enter active service each year as estimated by the 2016/17 TSM:
Estimated no. of qualified teachers in active service (headcount)
Estimated no. of qualified teachers entering active service (headcount)
Source: 2016/17 Teacher Supply Model
The 2016/17 TSM, along with a user guide explaining the methodology in detail, is available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model